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Heat vs. Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Picks – Dec. 3

Data Skrive

The Miami Heat (14-7) face the Dallas Mavericks (7-15) on December 3, 2025 on FDSSUN, KFAA, WFAA, and NBA TV. Wednesday’s matchup between the Heat and the Mavericks features the Heat as 5-point favorites. The matchup’s over/under is 240.5.

Here’s everything you need to know to know about the Heat-Mavericks game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Heat vs. Mavericks Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

  • When: Wednesday, December 3, 2025 at 8:30 p.m. ET
  • Where: American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas
  • TV: FDSSUN, KFAA, WFAA, and NBA TV
  • Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Heat vs Mavericks Betting Information Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Heat -5 -110 -110 240.5 -110 -110 -205 +172

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Heat vs. Mavericks Prediction

ATS Pick: Heat (- 5)
O/U Pick: Under (240.5)
Score Prediction: Heat 121 – Mavericks 114

Heat vs. Mavericks Betting Insights

  • Heat games have gone over 240.5 points scored, their current matchup’s total, 12 times (out of 21) this year.
  • The Mavericks games have gone over 240.5 total points scored in five of 22 total matchups this year.
  • The Heat and the Mavericks combine to average 5.1 fewer points per game than the over/under of 240.5 set for this matchup.
  • The Heat and the Mavericks have seen their opponents average a combined 6.0 fewer points per game than the point total of 240.5 set for this outing.
  • Miami has been chosen as the favorite in nine games this year and has walked away with the win seven times (77.8%) in those games.
  • Dallas has come away with four wins in the 15 contests it has been listed as the underdog this season.
  • Miami has taken its one head-to-head meeting with Dallas.
  • The Mavericks have a 1-0 record against the spread when playing the Heat.

Heat Recent Trends

  • The Heat are 5-5 against the spread and 7-3 overall in their last 10 contests.
  • Miami has averaged a total of 240.3 combined points in its last 10 games, 0.2 less than this matchup’s total of 240.5.
  • The Heat are 13-7-1 against the spread this season.
  • Miami has an ATS record of 4-3 in its seven games when favored by 5 points or more so far this season.
  • Heat games this year have gone over the total in 13 out of 22 opportunities (59.1%).
  • The Heat record 124.3 points per game, 8.2 more points than the 116.1 the Mavericks allow.
  • Miami has a 10-3 record against the spread and a 9-4 record overall when putting up more than 116.1 points.
  • The Heat are shooting 48.3% from the field this season, 2.4 percentage points higher than the 45.9% the Mavericks allow to opponents.
  • The Heat sport a better record against the spread in home games (8-4-0) than they do in away games (5-3-1).
  • Miami has eclipsed the total in six of 12 home games (50%). It has fared better in away games, going over the total in seven of nine matchups (77.8%).

Heat Recent Stats

Stat Average Rank Points Scored 124.3 2 Points Allowed 118.4 20 Rebounds 46.2 4 Assists 30.3 2 Steals 9.0 7 Blocks 4.6 18

Heat Leaders

  • Jaime Jaquez Jr. puts up 15.6 points, 6.2 rebounds and 5.3 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 0.6 steals and 0.3 blocks.
  • Kel’el Ware posts 11.8 points, 10.6 boards and 0.5 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 1.0 steal and 1.3 blocks.
  • Norman Powell puts up 25.0 points, 2.4 assists and 3.7 rebounds per contest.
  • Davion Mitchell posts 10.0 points, 2.9 rebounds and 7.8 assists per contest, shooting 51.6% from the floor and 40.4% from beyond the arc with 1.1 made 3-pointers per contest.
  • Andrew Wiggins averages 17.5 points, 2.9 assists and 5.1 rebounds.

Heat Player Props

Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG Tyler Herro 21.5 -122 24.8 Norman Powell 20.5 -102 25.0 Bam Adebayo 17.5 -128 19.4 Andrew Wiggins 15.5 -132 17.5 Jaime Jaquez Jr. 10.5 +100 15.6

Mavericks Recent Trends

  • The Mavericks have a 5-5 record against the spread while going 4-6 overall over their last 10 contests.
  • Dallas and its opponents have combined to score an average of 231.6 combined points over its last 10 games, 8.9 less than the 240.5 over/under in this matchup.
  • The Mavericks have 10 wins against the spread in 22 games this season.
  • So far this year, Dallas has been installed as underdogs by a 5-point margin or more nine times and are 6-3 ATS in those contests.
  • Mavericks games this season have gone over the total in nine of 22 opportunities (40.9%).
  • The Mavericks average 7.3 fewer points per game (111.1) than the Heat give up to opponents (118.4).
  • Dallas has put together a 3-2 ATS record and a 3-2 overall record in games it scores more than 118.4 points.
  • The Mavericks are shooting 44.9% from the field, 1.0% higher than the 43.9% the Heat’s opponents have shot this season.
  • Against the spread, the Mavericks have had better results away (5-4-0) than at home (5-8-0) .
  • Dallas’ games have finished above the over/under 38.5% of the time at home (five of 13), and 44.4% of the time on the road (four of nine).
  • As moneyline favorites, the Mavericks have won a lower percentage of games at home (2-4) than away (1-0).

Mavericks Recent Stats

Stat Average Rank Points Scored 111.1 28 Points Allowed 116.1 16 Rebounds 44.7 13 Assists 24.5 26 Steals 8.3 18 Blocks 5.9 3

Mavericks Leaders

  • On a per-game basis, Cooper Flagg gives the Mavericks 17.0 points, 6.6 rebounds and 3.4 assists. He also averages 1.4 steals and 0.6 blocked shots.
  • On a per-game basis, P.J. Washington gets the Mavericks 16.0 points, 7.8 rebounds and 2.3 assists. He also averages 0.9 steals and 1.2 blocked shots.
  • The Mavericks are getting 12.0 points, 5.3 rebounds and 2.5 assists per game from Naji Marshall this year.
  • Max Christie gets the Mavericks 12.2 points, 3.3 rebounds and 2.0 assists per game while posting 0.5 steals and 0.5 blocked shots.
  • Brandon Williams gives the Mavericks 10.7 points, 2.5 rebounds and 4.1 assists per game while averaging 1.5 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.

Mavericks Player Props

Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG Anthony Davis 22.5 -130 21.1 Cooper Flagg 17.5 -104 17.0 P.J. Washington 15.5 -106 16.0 Naji Marshall 11.5 -132 12.0 Max Christie 10.5 -114 12.2

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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