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Long Range Forecast — November 26, 2025
Zootopia 2 | Disney
Domestic Opening Weekend Range: $95M – $110M (3-Day); $140M – $160M (5-Day)
Disney will try to follow up the success of its Thanksgiving 2024 release of Moana 2 with another animated sequel, as the Zootopia universe returns to theaters over the holiday weekend. Last year’s combined Thanksgiving weekend five-day box office—$382.5M, with 75% of showtimes coming from the top three films (Moana 2, Wicked, Gladiator II)—was the biggest ever for the holiday, just as Moana 2‘s debut frame broke a slew of individual records, including best Thanksgiving weekend bow (both three-day and five-day), best three-day debut for a Walt Disney Animated Studios title, and best five-day opening.
Despite ample surface-level similarities between Moana 2 and Zootopia 2—both are sequels to 2016 Disney animated hits coming out over Thanksgiving weekend—our forecasting doesn’t have the latter film reaching $200M over the five-day holiday as Moana 2 did, though predictions may budge upwards as we get closer to release. It’s worth noting that the first Zootopia outgrossed the first Moana by a substantial amount, pulling in $341.2M at the domestic box office to the latter’s $248.7M. Another hopeful factoid is that, among the nine Disney animated sequels (both Pixar and Walt Disney Animation Studios) to hit theaters over the last decade, all but two (Cars 3 and Lightyear) grossed more than their predecessors.
Over the last decade, Disney animated releases to debut over Thanksgiving weekend are:
YearTitleThree-Day Box OfficeFive-Day Box Office2024Moana 2$139.7M$225.4M2021Encanto$27.2M$40.5M2018Ralph Breaks the Internet$56.2M$84.7M2017Coco$50.8M$72.9M2016Moana$56.6M$82M2015The Good Dinosaur$39.1M$55.4M
(2019’s Frozen II came out the week before Thanksgiving; its holiday weekend totals are $85.9M [three-day] and $125M [five-day].)
Tracking Updates [as of October 24]
Release DateTitlePredicted Opening RangeDistributor10/24Regretting You$17M – $22MParamount10/24Chainsaw Man: The Movie – Reze Arc$7M – $10MSony / Crunchyroll10/24Springsteen: Deliver Me From Nothing$15M – $20MDisney10/31Bugonia (Expansion)$2M – $4MFocus Features11/7Christy $4M – 8MBlack Bear Pictures11/7Predator: Badlands$30M – $38MDisney / 20th Century Fox11/14The Running Man$35M – $45MParamount11/14Keeper$6M – $10MNeon11/14Now You See Me, Now You Don’t$20M – $28MLionsgate11/21Sisu: Road to Revenge$3M – $5MSony11/21Wicked: For Good$130M – $155MUniversal11/21Rental Family$2M – $4MSearchlight Pictures
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