Lorenzo Musetti vs Sebastian Korda Preview: Head-to-Head, Prediction for Hellenic Championships 2025, Athens
Second seed Lorenzo Musetti would look to carry his momentum into his upcoming semifinals clash against the USA’s Sebastian Korda at the 2025 Hellenic Championships. On the virtue of being the second set, Musetti received a first-round bye, thus making a direct entry into the second round, where he dispatched three-time Grand Slam champion Stan Wawrinka 4-6, 7-6(5), 6-4.
In his next match against fifth seed Alexandre Müller, Musetti showed no signs of trouble as he cruised to a commanding 6–2, 6–4 victory, securing his place in the semifinals of the ATP 250 event .
Korda, meanwhile, opened his campaign with a hard-fought 4–6, 6–3, 6–4 win over Alexei Popyrin. He followed it up by overcoming Damir Džumhur 4–6, 6–3, 6–3 and then defeating Miomir Kecmanović 6–3, 6–2 in the quarterfinals to book a semifinal showdown with Musetti.
Lorenzo Musetti vs Sebastian Korda Match Details
Date: Nov. 7, 2025
Tournament: Hellenic Championships 2025
Round: Semifinals
Venue: OAKA Basketball Arena, Greece, Athens
Category: ATP 250
Surface: Indoor hardcourt
Live Telecast: Tennis Channel, TSN, Sky Sports
Musetti vs Korda Head-to-Head
The two have developed a close rivalry, with each winning two matches out of their four meetings overall. Their upcoming clash will be their first in almost three years, with their last encounter taking place in Metz in 2022, where Korda triumphed 6–3, 7–6(6) to reach the quarterfinals.
Musetti vs Korda Prediction
Neither player has lifted a trophy this season, adding extra weight to their pursuit in Athens. Both have won 83% service games this season, but Korda has been particularly dominant on serve this week at the Hellenic Championships.
The American has won 80% of his first-serve points in the tournament, an advantage he’ll look to exploit against Musetti, who stands at 75%. Adding to Korda’s edge is his dominance on second-serve points (66% to Musetti’s 58%), along with a higher ace count, 39 to the Italian’s 17.
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Korda has also been notably strong on break points, converting 47%, while Musetti remains at just 26% so far in his campaign in Athens. However, one area one concerning area for the American is that he has conceded nine break points in the tournament, while the World No. 9 has allowed only five.
When it comes to indoor hard-court records, Korda clearly holds the advantage with a strong margin. The World No. 52 currently owns a 62.34% win rate on the surface, while Musetti follows behind at just 47.76%. So even though Musetti enters the match with a better ranking, the numbers and the conditions could favor Korda. And while it promises to be a tough contest, the American could eventually gain the upper hand in this matchup.
Pick: Korda to win in three sets.
