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Heat vs. Cavaliers Prediction, Odds, Picks – Nov. 12

Data Skrive

The Miami Heat (7-4) will host the Cleveland Cavaliers (7-4) after victories in five home games in a row. The Heat match up with the Cavaliers in a game that Miami is currently a favorite by 6 points. The point total for the game is 238.5.

Check out everything you need to know about the Heat-Cavaliers game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Heat vs. Cavaliers Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

  • When: Wednesday, November 12, 2025 at 7:30 p.m. ET
  • Where: Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida
  • TV: FDSSUN and FDSOH
  • Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Heat vs Cavaliers Betting Information Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Heat -6 -106 -114 238.5 -112 -108 -210 +176

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Heat vs. Cavaliers Prediction

ATS Pick: Cavaliers (+ 6)
O/U Pick: Over (238.5)
Score Prediction: Heat 123 – Cavaliers 120

Heat vs. Cavaliers Betting Insights

  • Out of 11 games thus far this season, the Heat have had seven with more than 238.5 points scored, their current matchup’s over/under.
  • This year, five of the Cavaliers’ 11 games have had a combined total higher than 238.5 points scored.
  • The two teams average a combined 9.3 more points per game, 247.8, than this matchup’s total of 238.5 points.
  • The Heat and the Cavaliers have seen their opponents average a combined 1.0 fewer point per game than the over/under of 238.5 set for this game.
  • Miami has won in each of the two matchups it has played as odds-on favorites this season.
  • Cleveland has yet to play a game this season while listed as the underdog.
  • Miami has a 1-0 record in the last one head-to-head meetings with Cleveland.
  • The Heat have an advantage against the spread as well (1-0) when taking the court against the Cavaliers.
  • The Heat beat the point spread in their previous three games, and were the favorites in one of those games.

Heat Recent Trends

  • The Heat have eight wins against the spread in 11 games this year.
  • Miami has been favored by 6 points or more once this season and covered the spread.
  • Heat games this year have hit the over 63.6% of the time (seven out of 11 games with a set point total).
  • The Heat put up 7.8 more points per game (125.5) than the Cavaliers allow (117.7).
  • Miami is 7-1 against the spread and 6-2 overall when scoring more than 117.7 points.
  • The Heat make 49.6% of their shots from the field this season, which is 3.1 percentage points higher than the Cavaliers have allowed to their opponents (46.5%).
  • The Heat have done a better job covering the spread in home games (5-0-0) than they have in road affairs (3-2-1).
  • Miami has exceeded the over/under in three of five home games (60%). It has done better on the road, eclipsing the total in four of six matchups (66.7%).

Heat Recent Stats

Stat Average Rank Points Scored 125.5 1 Points Allowed 119.8 22 Rebounds 44.5 14 Assists 30.5 1 Steals 9.9 5 Blocks 3.7 24

Heat Leaders

  • Jaime Jaquez Jr. puts up 17.5 points, 5.2 assists and 7.5 rebounds per contest.
  • Andrew Wiggins averages 17.8 points, 4.4 boards and 2.5 assists per contest, shooting 52.7% from the floor and 40.0% from beyond the arc with 2.0 made treys per game.
  • Davion Mitchell posts 9.4 points, 2.7 boards and 7.6 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 1.5 steals and 0.1 blocks.
  • Kel’el Ware averages 10.1 points, 0.6 assists and 8.8 boards.
  • Norman Powell posts 24.5 points, 4.3 rebounds and 2.4 assists per game, shooting 46.0% from the field and 45.8% from beyond the arc with 2.8 made treys per contest.

Heat Player Props

Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG Norman Powell 23.5 -108 24.5 Andrew Wiggins 18.5 -125 17.8 Jaime Jaquez Jr. 15.5 -106 17.5 Kel’el Ware 12.5 +100 10.1 Nikola Jovic 11.5 -110 10.3

Cavaliers Recent Trends

  • Against the spread, the Cavaliers are 4-7-0 this season.
  • Cavaliers games this season have eclipsed the over/under six times in 11 opportunities (54.5%).
  • The Cavaliers’ 122.3 points per game are just 2.5 more points than the 119.8 the Heat allow.
  • Cleveland has put together a 2-3 ATS record and a 4-1 overall record in games it scores more than 119.8 points.
  • The Cavaliers have shot at a 45.5% rate from the field this season, 1.9 percentage points higher than the 43.6% shooting opponents of the Heat have averaged.
  • The Cavaliers have been better against the spread at home (2-3-0) than away (2-4-0) this season.
  • Cleveland’s games have gone above the over/under less often at home (two times out of five) than away (four of six) this season.
  • This season the Cavaliers are 4-1 at home when moneyline favorites (.800 winning percentage). On the road they are 3-3 (.500).

Cavaliers Recent Stats

Stat Average Rank Points Scored 122.3 5 Points Allowed 117.7 18 Rebounds 43.5 17 Assists 27.7 10 Steals 9.9 5 Blocks 5.2 10

Cavaliers Leaders

  • On a per-game basis, Donovan Mitchell gets the Cavaliers 30.4 points, 4.4 rebounds and 5.4 assists. He also averages 1.5 steals and 0.4 blocked shots.
  • The Cavaliers are getting 15.0 points, 7.7 rebounds and 1.9 assists per game from Jarrett Allen this season.
  • Jaylon Tyson gives the Cavaliers 11.1 points, 4.0 rebounds and 1.8 assists per game while averaging 1.3 steals and 0.8 blocked shots.
  • De’Andre Hunter is averaging 19.0 points, 5.1 rebounds and 2.9 assists per contest. He is draining 41.9% of his shots from the field and 29.0% from beyond the arc, with 2.3 treys per contest.
  • Sam Merrill gets the Cavaliers 14.6 points, 1.8 rebounds and 2.5 assists per game while delivering 0.5 steals and 0.1 blocked shots.

Cavaliers Player Props

Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG De’Andre Hunter 22.5 -114 19.0 Jarrett Allen 16.5 -102 15.0 Sam Merrill 14.5 -110 14.6 Lonzo Ball 9.5 -104 5.1 Dean Wade 8.5 -104 5.8

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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