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Jets at Patriots: Predictions, picks and odds for Thursday Night Football Week 11

The New York Jets (2-7) visit the New England Patriots (8-2) at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough for a Week 11 showdown, and USA TODAY’s panel of NFL experts have locked in their picks and predictions for the action. Here’s everything you need to know before kickoff on Thursday, November 13, including live updated odds and injury report news.

NameWeek 102025 SeasonJon Hoefling8-677-69-3Tyler Dragon8-676-70-3Blake Schuster7-772-61-3Lorenzo Reyes8-671-77-3Chris Bumbaca8-667-79-3Jordan Mendoza4-1057-60-2Richard MorinN/A25-12-1

Patriots vs. Jets live odds, moneyline, over/under

Opening Lines

  • Spread: Patriots (-5.5)
  • Moneyline: Patriots (-225), Jets (+182)
  • Over/Under: 42.5

Get the edge with our exclusive NFL betting picks

Patriots vs. Jets picks against the spread

Jon Hoefling: New York Jets (+11.5)

Divisional game, in primetime, need I say less. Patriots will win, but 11.5 points is too much.

Tyler Dragon: New England Patriots (-11.5)

The point spread is a lot, but Mike Vrabel has the Patriots playing at a high level. He’s a coach of the year candidate.

Christopher Bumbaca: New York Jets (+11.5)

Far too many points for “TNF,” which has been an underdog’s dream in 2025. Give me the Patriots straight-up though.

Lorenzo Reyes: New York Jets (+11.5)

The Patriots are excellent and should easily win this game. But on a short week, I could see the Jets keeping this close. Simply put: this line is a little too rich for me.

Jordan Mendoza: New England Patriots (-11.5)

The Patriots at home may feast against the Jets offense. Thursday nights have been weird, but New England doesn’t let this be close.

Blake Schuster: New York Jets (+11.5)

If the Jets are tanking, the message hasn’t reached the locker room. New York has played four straight one-possession games, covering the spread in three and outright winning two. This is simply too many points against a Patriots team that isn’t sneaking up on anyone now.

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