Soccer / UEFA Champions League
09/12/2025 – 21:00
PSV Eindhoven
VS
Atletico Madrid
Odds updated on December 9, 2025 at 3:40 pm
With the group stage of the Champions League entering its critical phase, hosts PSV Eindhoven welcome Atletico Madrid to Philips Stadion on Tuesday. Each will need a win to keep hopes alive. A win could be decisive as PSV sit just outside qualification, while Atleti aim to leapfrog them.
PSV are arriving buoyed by a stunning 4-1 win at the home of the reigning English champions. It was a result that turned heads across Europe. Dominance at home and red-hot domestic form make them dangerous opponents for any team visiting Eindhoven.
PSV vs Atletico Madrid Preview
PSV Eindhoven
PSV have been in fine form domestically. They’re leading their league with 40 points from a possible 45. They’ve won ten of their last eleven matches. Their Champions League home record is equally impressive. In recent seasons they’ve scored freely.
Philips Stadion has regularly seen high-scoring affairs. While they have conceded in Europe this season, their defence recently stabilised with three clean sheets in four games across all competitions. Coach Peter Bosz is likely to stick with a similar lineup that impressed at Liverpool.
Although they will miss the experienced winger Ivan Perisic. He may be replaced effectively by Couhaib Driouech, who grabbed a brace in that match. Midfield balance will come from the likes of Mauro Junior and Joey Veerman, with defensive responsibilities lying on Jerdy Schouten and Yarek Gasiorowski.
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Atletico Madrid
Atleti are heading into this fixture on the back of a memorable 2-1 win at home against Inter Milan, thanks to a last-minute header. It was a result that boosted confidence. However, their away form remains a concern. They have lost five of their last ten matches on the road.
Defence may be reshaped as centre-back Jose Gimenez is unavailable. His absence could see partners David Hancko and Clément Lenglet get the nod. In midfield, injury to Johnny Cardoso from recent games could pave the way for veteran Koke to step in.
The forward line will likely be led by Julian Alvarez, who has been exceptionally brilliant up front so far. He should receive support from Giuliano Simeone and Thiago Almada across the flanks. Thus, giving Atleti pace and unpredictability going forward.
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PSV vs Atletico Madrid Over/ Under Predictions
Total Goals Under 3.5 @ -175 as per BetMGM:
Despite PSV’s prolific scoring at home, recent patterns suggest that both sides create chances but also show defensive caution. Especially Atleti away from home. PSV have generally scored freely at Philips Stadion in the Champions League while Atleti’s recent away results have seen them struggling to keep consistency at the back. These factors point to a more controlled encounter rather than a goal-fest, making under 3.5 goals a reasonable bet.
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PSV vs Atletico Madrid Player Picks
Guus Til to score anytime @ +260 as per FanDuel:
PSV’s confidence going into this game is high after their 4-1 win away from home. Their attacking unit, led by Guus Til, appears sharp. Given PSV’s defensive vulnerabilities on the road and Atleti’s shaky away form, Til could exploit gaps as PSV would push forward. That makes an anytime-goal bet at plus odds an attractive option.
Julian Alvarez to either score or assist anytime @ -110 as per FanDuel:
Alvarez has been a key attacking outlet for Atleti. He will bear the responsibility of leading the line with experienced support. Despite defensive personnel changes, his pace and involvement in recent Champions League matches make him a likely candidate to contribute offensively. That is, either by scoring or setting up a goal. It justifies the -110 odds.
PSV vs Atletico Madrid Predictions
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Considering PSV’s exceptional home form and their ability to score, they are favoured to edge this contest at Philips Stadion. Atleti’s recent struggles on the road, including defensive lapses and inconsistency, will make it difficult for them to keep a clean sheet.
Final Prediction: PSV 2-1 Atletico Madrid
PSV’s attacking momentum along with Atleti’s Alvarez’s threat suggests a competitive match. But with the home side likely coming out on top. Expect the match to end up in a narrow 2-1 win for PSV Eindhoven.
soccer
Football writer at The Playoffs. I’ve been obsessed with the beautiful game since I was a kid.. Eventually, I realized I could combine my passion for writing with my love for football, and I’ve never looked back. My favorite part of the job is everything—when you’re doing what you love, even a late-night deadline feels like extra time in a thrilling cup final. Lastly, Lionel Messi is the GOAT.
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