Jannik Sinner vs Alex De Minaur Preview: Head-to-Head and Prediction for Vienna Open 2025

One of the semifinal fixtures at the 2025 Vienna Open will see top seed Jannik Sinner face off against third seed Alex de Minaur. Winning 46 of the 52 matches in the year, Sinner is having another phenomenal year despite being out of action due to a three-month doping ban.
At Vienna, he began his campaign with a dominant 6-0, 6-2 win over Daniel Altmaier in the first round, followed by a 6-2, 7-6 (4) win over countryman Flavio Cobolli in the next round. In the quarterfinals, the Italian faced off against eighth seed Alexander Bublik, winning 6-4, 6-4.
On the other hand, De Minaur has won over 50 matches this season, winning a title in Washington and having a runner-up finish at Rotterdam. He began his Vienna campaign with a 6-4, 6-1 win over Jurij Rodionov in the first round, followed by a 6-4, 6-4 victory over another Austrian, Filip Misolic, in the second round.
In the quarterfinals, he faced off against former Wimbledon finalist Matteo Berrettini, winning 6-1, 7-6 (4) against the Italian.
Jannik Sinner vs Alex de Minaur Match Details
Date: Oct. 25, 2025
Tournament: Vienna Open 2025
Venue: Wiener Stadhalle, Vienna, Austria
Category: ATP 500
Surface: Indoor Hard Court
Live Telecast: Tennis Channel, TSN, Sky Sports
Sinner vs De Minaur Head-to-Head
The Sinner-De Minaur rivalry is a one-sided one, with the Italian having an 11-0 head-to-head record. The last time they faced off, Sinner won 6-3, 4-6, 6-2 at the China Open semifinal. The one-sided nature of the rivalry is revealed in the fact that the set won by the Australian was only his second that he had won against Sinner in eleven attempts.
Sinner vs De Minaur Head-to-Head
In his three matches in Vienna so far, Sinner has won 77 percent of his first serve points, with an even more impressive 78 percent win rate behind his second serve. He has been efficient in his return games, breaking his opponent seven times in three matches.
De Minaur has put together a strong serving performance in his three matches as well, winning 73 percent of the service points. However, the Australian has been under par when it comes to break point conversion, as he has converted only 9 of the 24 opportunities he has had in the three matches.
More: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Bublik Preview: Head-to-Head and Prediction for Vienna Open 2025
Sinner is an absolute force to be reckoned with on hard courts, especially on indoor ones. This is his first indoor event this year, and he has an 8-0 win-loss record in Vienna, having been a former champion in 2023. On the other hand, De Minaur has had success on indoor hard courts this season, reaching the final of Rotterdam.
Overall, the Italian has seven indoor-hard court titles in his career, whereas the Australian has not won any but reached four finals on the surface. The track record on indoor-hard courts, current form, and the extremely lopsided head-to-head give a clear advantage to Sinner going into this match.
Pick- Sinner to win in straight sets.




