2025 Rolex Paris Masters: Ugo Carabelli [49th] vs. Zverev [3rd] Prediction, Odds and Match Preview

In the Rolex Paris Masters Round of 32 on Wednesday, we have a matchup featuring No. 3-ranked Alexander Zverev against No. 49 Camilo Ugo Carabelli.

Zverev has -5000 odds to claim a win in this match against Ugo Carabelli (+1100).

Tennis odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Wednesday at 2:35 AM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs. Alexander Zverev matchup info

• Tournament: Rolex Paris Masters
• Round: Round of 32
• Date: Wednesday, October 29
• Court Surface: Hard

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Ugo Carabelli vs. Zverev Prediction

Based on the implied probility from the moneyline, Ugo Carabelli has a 98.0% to win.

Ugo Carabelli vs. Zverev Betting Odds

• Ugo Carabelli’s odds to win match: +1100
• Zverev’s odds to win match: -5000

Ugo Carabelli vs. Zverev matchup performance & stats

• In 10 tournaments on hard courts this year, Ugo Carabelli has gone 5-11 in matches.
• Ugo Carabelli has 129 wins in 193 service games on hard courts (winning percentage of 66.8%), and 40 wins in 190 return games (21.1%).
• On hard courts this year, Ugo Carabelli has won 41.4% of break points (36 out of 87, to rank 107th).
• In his previous tournament (the Erste Bank Open), Ugo Carabelli lost to Filip Misolic 5-7, 6-7 on October 21, in the Round of 32.
• Zverev is 26-10 in 10 tournaments on hard courts this year.
• Zverev has won 24.1% of his return games on hard courts, and 85.0% of his service games.
• Including hard courts only, Zverev has converted 38.7% of his break-point chances (92 of 238).
• Zverev was one step away from the championship in his most recent tournament (the Erste Bank Open), but he was defeated by No. 2-ranked Jannik Sinner 6-3, 3-6, 5-7 on October 26.