The Portland Trail Blazers (6-6) and Dallas Mavericks (3-10) meet Sunday. Tip-off from the American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas, is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Trail Blazers vs. Mavericks odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
2024-25 season series: Mavericks won 3-1
The Trail Blazers have gone 0-3-1 against the spread (ATS) in their last 4 games. They’re coming off a 140-116 loss at the Houston Rockets Friday. They failed to cover as 7.5-point underdogs as the Over (236.5) hit for the second straight game. Portland committed 20 turnovers, which Houston converted into 30 points. F Deni Avdija led the Trail Blazers with 22 points and 10 rebounds.
The Mavericks have lost 3 straight games, going 1-2 ATS in that span. Their last game was a 133-127 2OT home loss to the LA Clippers Friday, failing to cover as 3-point underdogs. F Naji Marshall and G D’Angelo Russell each scored 28 points, and the Over (221.5) easily hit. C Dereck Lively II (4 points in 17 minutes) returned from a knee injury after missing 9 games and is not listed on Sunday’s injury report.
Each team covered twice across 4 meetings last season, with the Over going 4-0.
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Trail Blazers at Mavericks odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:41 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Trail Blazers -170 (bet $170 to win $100) | Mavericks +140 (bet $100 to win $140)
- Against the spread: Trail Blazers -4.5 (-105) | Mavericks +4.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 234.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
Trail Blazers at Mavericks key injuries
Trail Blazers
- G Scoot Henderson (hamstring) out
- G Damian Lillard (Achilles) out
Mavericks
- F Anthony Davis (calf) doubtful
- G Dante Exum (knee) out
- G Kyrie Irving (knee) out
- F P.J. Washington (shoulder) probable
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Trail Blazers at Mavericks picks and predictions
Prediction
Trail Blazers 120, Mavericks 119
While the Trail Blazers are the much healthier team, I’m not willing to lay -170 on a straight-up win.
PASS on the moneyline.
The Trail Blazers have the better record straight up and ATS, and they’re almost rolling out a fully healthy roster. While it’s reasonable for Portland to be favored over Dallas given all of the Mavericks’ injuries, this spread is just a bit too high.
Portland hasn’t covered in 4 straight games, including 1 push, and hasn’t covered as a favorite since beating the Los Angeles Lakers 122-108 while laying 3 points on the road Oct. 27. Since then, the Trail Blazers are 0-3-1 ATS as favorites.
While the Mavericks aren’t sending out their best roster, they’ve at least shown they’re capable of keeping games competitive, as they’re 2-1 ATS this season as an underdog of 4.5 or more points.
BET MAVERICKS +4.5 (-115).
There’s not much to handicap here.
The Trail Blazers are 9-3 to the Over this season, the Mavericks are 3-0 to the Over in their last 3 games and the Over has hit in each of the last 5 meetings dating back to the 2023-24 season.
BET OVER 234.5 (-105).
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