2025 Moselle Open: Choinski [131st] vs. Sonego [45th] Prediction, Odds and Match Preview

On Monday, Lorenzo Sonego (No. 42 in the world) faces Jan Choinski (No. 126) in the Round of 32 at the Moselle Open.

Sonego is favored (-526) against Choinski (+350) in this Round of 32 match.

Tennis odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Monday at 6:35 AM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

Jan Choinski vs. Lorenzo Sonego matchup info

• Tournament: Moselle Open
• Round: Round of 32
• Date: Monday, November 3
• Court Surface: Hard

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Choinski vs. Sonego Prediction

Based on the implied probility from the moneyline, Choinski has an 84.0% to win.

Choinski vs. Sonego Betting Odds

• Choinski’s odds to win match: +350
• Sonego’s odds to win match: -526

Choinski vs. Sonego matchup performance & stats

• Choinski is 0-1 on hard courts over the past 12 months.
• In terms of serve/return winning percentages on hard courts over the past 12 months, Choinski has won 72.7% of his games on serve and 9.1% on return.
• Choinski has converted one of two break points on hard courts (50.0%) over the past 12 months and is 326th in break points won.
• In his last tournament, Wimbledon, Choinski fell in the Qualification Round 1 to No. 167-ranked Mark Lajal, 6-3, 4-6, 3-6 on June 23.
• Sonego hasn’t won a title on hard courts over the past year, registering an 18-20 record on that surface.
• Sonego is 411-for-509 in service games on hard courts (80.7%) and 98-for-492 in return games (19.9%).
• On hard courts Sonego ranks 33rd in break point win percentage (39.2%) after going 82-for-209.
• In the Round of 16 of his previous tournament (the Rolex Paris Masters) on October 30, Sonego was taken down by No. 13-ranked Daniil Medvedev 6-3, 6-7, 4-6.